General Motors Company (GM) Fair Value 2026

GM · Auto Manufacturers ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, General Motors Company (GM) trades at $86.27, versus a $88.50 median fair value across its 12 active models — 2.6% above the current price. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $411.23.

Key Facts

Ticker
GM
Price
$86.27
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +376.7% upside with 68% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is General Motors Company (GM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, General Motors Company (GM) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $88.50, within 2.6% of the current price of $86.27. Estimates range from $6.17 to $411.23. GM scores 6.7/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. GM’s +2.6% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Auto Manufacturers sector median is +15.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy General Motors Company Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GM?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($86.27)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $411.23 +376.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.28 -90.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $100.36 +16.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $107.32 +24.4%
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What Is GM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $6.17 to $411.23

CirclFi's 12 active models place General Motors Company (GM) between $6.17 and $411.23 per share, a spread of 458% of the median. The median of that range — $88.50 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GM, against a current price of $86.27.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · Bayesian DCF
$6.17median $88.50$411.23
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$6.17
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$411.23
Model agreement6 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is General Motors Company (GM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, General Motors Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $88.50, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $86.27. With a median implied return of +2.6% across a split 6–6 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +469.5% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +376.7% (fair value: $411.23), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -92.9% ($6.17). The spread between these extremes — +469.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About GM?

12 of 13 models are currently active for GM. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GM is $88.50 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $411.23 on its own, implying +376.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GM Rank in Auto Manufacturers?

Among 30 Auto Manufacturers stocks, GM ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

The Auto Manufacturers sector introduces analytical considerations specific to vehicle manufacturer businesses. For General Motors Company, metrics like EV mix percentage provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is GM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GM a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for General Motors Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, General Motors Company scores 6.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +469.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GM's 12 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy General Motors Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Auto Manufacturers Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Auto Manufacturers stocks with 13-model coverage

NIUNiu TechnologiesQOC 6.8STLAStellantis N.V.QOC 6.6NIONIO Inc.QOC 7.0CENNCenntro Inc.QOC 5.7FFord Motor CompanyQOC 7.2WKHSWorkhorse Group, Inc.QOC 5.6LCIDLucid Group, Inc.QOC 5.3LOTLotus Technology Inc.QOC 3.1TMToyota Motor CorporationQOC 8.1RACEFerrari N.V.QOC 9.7TSLATesla, Inc.QOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: NIU · STLA · NIO · CENN · F · WKHS · LCID · LOT · TM · RACE · TSLA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GM?

7 companies across all industries closest to GM’s Quality of Company score of 6.7/10.

MDGLMadrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 6.7MEDMedifast, Inc.QOC 6.7RITMRithm Capital Corp.QOC 6.7SCMStellus Capital Investment CorporationQOC 6.7GKOSGlaukos CorporationQOC 6.7AEGAegon Ltd.QOC 6.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MDGL · MED · RITM · SCM · GKOS · AEG · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About General Motors Company’s Valuation?

What is General Motors Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts General Motors Company (GM)'s intrinsic value at $88.50 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $6.17 to $411.23. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $411.23 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $86.27, 6 of 12 active models suggest GM may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $88.50, within 2.6% of the current price of $86.27 — a consensus view that GM is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits General Motors Company's business model in Auto Manufacturers.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for GM?

General Motors Company's QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GM?

CirclFi analyzes GM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GM?

Of the 12 models currently active on GM, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $411.23 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $6.17. CirclFi's published fair value for GM is the median of that range, $88.50, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 458% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GM a value trap in 2026?

General Motors Company's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, General Motors Company (GM) has a median fair value of $88.50 — within 2.6% of the current price of $86.27 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GM valuation
  • Financial statements: General Motors Company 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001467858) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GM as of ; valuations recomputed .

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