FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) Fair Value 2026

FIP · Railroads, Line-Haul Operating ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) trades at $4.49. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FIP
Price
$4.49
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +188.6% upside with 38% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.49)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
First Chicago
High Conviction
$7.24 +61.3%
PWERM
Medium Conviction
$12.96 +188.6%
FTNN Topology
Low Conviction
$3.59 -20.1%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, FTAI Infrastructure Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $7.93. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $4.49 (implied upside of +76.6%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 2 of 3 bullish models. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +188.6% (fair value: $12.96), while FTNN is the most conservative at -20.1% ($3.59). The spread between these extremes — +208.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About FIP?

3 of 13 models are currently active for FIP. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FIP Rank in Railroads, Line-Haul Operating?

Among 6 Railroads, Line-Haul Operating stocks, FIP ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a vehicle manufacturer, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. operates in a sector where EV mix percentage is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FIP should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is FIP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FIP a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for FTAI Infrastructure Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. is rated at 5.4/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +208.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FIP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FIP's 3 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy FTAI Infrastructure Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Railroads, Line-Haul Operating Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

5 related Railroads, Line-Haul Operating stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: UNP · CP · CSX · NSC · CNI

Frequently Asked Questions About FTAI Infrastructure Inc.

What is FTAI Infrastructure Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FIP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.49, 2 of 3 active models suggest FIP may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits FTAI Infrastructure Inc.'s business model in Railroads, Line-Haul Operating.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for FIP?

FTAI Infrastructure Inc.'s QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FIP?

CirclFi analyzes FIP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FIP a value trap in 2026?

FTAI Infrastructure Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →