What Is Ericsson (ERIC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Ericsson at $9.89. With an estimated intrinsic value of $13.88 and 5 of 9 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +40.3%. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $57.00 (+476.3%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $3.28 (-66.8%). This +543.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Ericsson's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About ERIC?
9 of 13 models are currently active for ERIC. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ERIC's intrinsic value at $3.79, implying -61.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ERIC Rank in Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment?
Among 19 Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment stocks, ERIC ranks #19 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.0 signals below-average fundamentals.
As a telecommunications sector, Ericsson operates in a sector where subscriber churn rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ERIC should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is ERIC a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ERIC. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
9 of 13 models are active for Ericsson. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Ericsson's fundamental quality profile registers 2.0/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +543.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ERIC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ERIC's 9 active models, average confidence is 8%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →