Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (CRESY) Fair Value 2026

CRESY · Real Estate ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

— (—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (CRESY) trades at $11.04, approximately 142% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.56. QOC: 2.3/10. 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CRESY
Price
$11.04
Quality Score
2.3/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.3/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (CRESY) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (CRESY) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $10.14, within 8.1% of the current price of $11.04. Estimates range from $4.56 to $43.50. CRESY scores 2.3/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($11.04)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $4.56 -58.7%
PWERM
Low Conviction
 $10.14 -8.1%

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What Is Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (CRESY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $15.79. Trading at $11.04, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of +43.1%), as 3 of 5 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $43.50 (+294.0%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $4.56 (-58.7%). This +352.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CRESY?

5 of 13 models are currently active for CRESY. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CRESY's intrinsic value at $4.56, implying -58.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CRESY Rank in Real Estate?

Among 32 Real Estate stocks, CRESY ranks #30 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.3 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Stocks →

The Real Estate sector introduces analytical considerations specific to real estate businesses. For Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A., metrics like debt-to-EBITDA provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is CRESY a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for CRESY. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. earns a quality score of 2.3/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +352.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CRESY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CRESY's 5 active models, average confidence is 3%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate stocks with 13-model coverage

CHCIComstock Holding Companies, IncQOC 9.6FSVFirstService CorporationQOC 8.8FPHFive Point Holdings, LLCQOC 8.7VTMXCorporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta,QOC 8.7IIPRInnovative Industrial PropertieQOC 8.5EFCEllington Financial Inc.QOC 8.4CWKCushman & Wakefield Ltd.QOC 8.3CURBCurbline Properties Corp.QOC 8.1

Read investment analysis: CHCI · FSV · FPH · VTMX · IIPR

See all Real Estate stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.

What is Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (CRESY) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $4.56. The Quality of Company score is 2.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CRESY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $11.04, 2 of 5 active models suggest CRESY may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $10.14, within 8.1% of the current price of $11.04 — a consensus view that CRESY is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.'s business model in Real Estate.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.3 mean for CRESY?

Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.'s QOC of 2.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CRESY?

CirclFi analyzes CRESY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CRESY a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for CRESY at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A. (CRESY) has a median fair value of $10.14 — within 8.1% of the current price of $11.04 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CRESY/ · Methodology

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