Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) Fair Value 2026

CNDT · Services-Business Services, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 4 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (16/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) trades at $1.53, approximately 68% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.77. QOC: 6.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 16/100 (SAFE). 4/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CNDT
Price
$1.53
Quality Score
6.2/10
Value Trap Risk
16/100
Models Active
4/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +211.5% upside with 21% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (4/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

4 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.53)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
 $4.77 +211.5%
ML-RIV
High Conviction
 $2.84 +85.5%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 2 additional models including EROIC Spread, PWERM.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 4 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Conduent Incorporated. Trading at $1.53 against an estimated intrinsic value of $4.23, 4 of 4 active models flag meaningful upside of +176.4% on average. The most optimistic model, EROIC, places fair value at $6.48 (+323.3%), while PWERM — the most conservative — estimates $2.84 (+85.3%). This +238.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Conduent Incorporated's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CNDT?

4 of 13 models are currently active for CNDT. All 4 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates CNDT's intrinsic value at $4.77, implying +211.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CNDT Rank in Services-Business Services, NEC?

Among 94 Services-Business Services, NEC stocks, CNDT ranks #61 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Business Services, NEC Stocks →

Conduent Incorporated operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CNDT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CNDT a score of 16/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

4 of 13 models are active for Conduent Incorporated. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Conduent Incorporated's fundamental quality profile registers 6.2/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +238.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CNDT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CNDT's 4 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Conduent Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Business Services, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Business Services, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

CARTMaplebear Inc.QOC 10.0EXLSExlService Holdings, Inc.QOC 10.0FICOFair Isaac CorporationQOC 10.0PDDPDD Holdings Inc.QOC 10.0TCOMTrip.com Group LimitedQOC 10.0LQDTLiquidity Services, Inc.QOC 9.7VVisa Inc.QOC 9.6HQYHealthEquity, Inc.QOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: CART · EXLS · FICO · PDD · TCOM

See all Services-Business Services, NEC stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Conduent Incorporated

What is Conduent Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $4.77. The Quality of Company score is 6.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CNDT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.53, 4 of 4 active models suggest CNDT may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Conduent Incorporated's business model in Services-Business Services, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.2 mean for CNDT?

Conduent Incorporated's QOC of 6.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CNDT?

CirclFi analyzes CNDT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 4 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CNDT a value trap in 2026?

Conduent Incorporated's Value Trap score is 16/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 4 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on CNDT.

Unlock All 4 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access