Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) Fair Value 2026

CNDT · Information Technology Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (29/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) trades at $1.62, versus a $3.31 median fair value across its 5 active models — 104.3% above the current price. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 29/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CNDT
Price
$1.62
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
29/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +104.3% upside with 4% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (5/13) may reduce confidence

Is Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) appears undervalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $3.31, 104.3% above the current price of $1.62. Estimates range from $0.23 to $9.28. CNDT scores 5.8/10 on fundamental quality and 29/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. CNDT’s +104.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Information Technology Services sector median is +5.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Conduent Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CNDT?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.62)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $3.31 +104.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $0.45 -72.5%
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What Is CNDT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $0.23 to $9.28

CirclFi's 5 active models place Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) between $0.23 and $9.28 per share, a spread of 273% of the median. The median of that range — $3.31 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CNDT, against a current price of $1.62.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · PWERM
$0.23median $3.31$9.28
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$0.23
Most bullish modelPWERM$9.28
Model agreement3 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CNDT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CNDT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Conduent Incorporated at $1.62. With an estimated intrinsic value of $3.31 and 3 of 5 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +104.3%. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $9.28 (+473.1%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $0.23 (-85.5%). This +558.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Conduent Incorporated's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CNDT?

5 of 13 models are currently active for CNDT. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CNDT is $3.31 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CNDT Rank in Information Technology Services?

Among 87 Information Technology Services stocks, CNDT ranks #54 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Information Technology Services Stocks →

As a technology sector, Conduent Incorporated operates in a sector where rule of 40 score is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CNDT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is CNDT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CNDT a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Conduent Incorporated. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Conduent Incorporated's fundamental quality profile registers 5.8/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +558.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CNDT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CNDT's 5 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Conduent Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Information Technology Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Information Technology Services stocks with 13-model coverage

SHAZSharonAI Holdings Inc.QOC 5.8PONYPony AI Inc.QOC 5.7TTECTTEC Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.9SAIHSAIHEAT LimitedQOC 5.7WYFIWhiteFiber, Inc.QOC 5.9ZONECleanCore Solutions, Inc.QOC 5.6CRCWThe Crypto CompanyQOC 4.1TASKTaskUs, Inc.QOC 8.8KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.4INODInnodata Inc.QOC 9.3ITGartner, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: SHAZ · PONY · TTEC · SAIH · WYFI · ZONE · CRCW · TASK · KD · INOD · IT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CNDT?

7 companies across all industries closest to CNDT’s Quality of Company score of 5.8/10.

CDTGCDT Environmental Technology Investment Holdings LimitedQOC 5.8HBIOHarvard Bioscience, Inc.QOC 5.8CCOICogent Communications Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.8VNRXVolitionRx LimitedQOC 5.8NRXSNeurAxis, Inc.QOC 5.8PRSOPeraso Inc.QOC 5.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CDTG · HBIO · CCOI · VNRX · NRXS · PRSO · NVDA

Where Does CNDT Sit in CirclFi's Information Technology Services Rankings?

CNDT is ranked against every other Information Technology Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Information Technology Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Conduent Incorporated’s Valuation?

What is Conduent Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Conduent Incorporated (CNDT)'s intrinsic value at $3.31 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $0.23 to $9.28. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CNDT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.62, 3 of 5 active models suggest CNDT may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $3.31, 104.3% above the current price of $1.62 — a consensus view that CNDT is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Conduent Incorporated's business model in Information Technology Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for CNDT?

Conduent Incorporated's QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CNDT?

CirclFi analyzes CNDT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CNDT?

Of the 5 models currently active on CNDT, PWERM is the most bullish at $9.28 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $0.23. CirclFi's published fair value for CNDT is the median of that range, $3.31, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 273% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CNDT a value trap in 2026?

Conduent Incorporated's Value Trap score is 29/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Conduent Incorporated (CNDT) has a median fair value of $3.31 — 104.3% above the current price of $1.62 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CNDT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CNDT valuation
  • Financial statements: Conduent Incorporated 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001677703) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CNDT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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