aTyr Pharma, Inc. (ATYR) Fair Value 2026

ATYR · Biotechnology ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (51/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, aTyr Pharma, Inc. (ATYR) trades at $0.53, approximately 193% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.18. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 51/100 (WARN). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ATYR
Price
$0.53
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
51/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: ML-RIV suggests +28.3% upside with 45% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 51 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is aTyr Pharma, Inc. (ATYR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, aTyr Pharma, Inc. (ATYR) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $0.55, within 2.9% of the current price of $0.53. Estimates range from $0.01 to $1.34. ATYR scores 5.0/10 on fundamental quality and 51/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy aTyr Pharma, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.53)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.18 -65.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$0.55 +2.9%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$0.07 -87.2%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
$0.69 +28.3%

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What Is aTyr Pharma, Inc. (ATYR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, aTyr Pharma, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $0.53. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $0.50 (-6.3% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 3 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Dynamic NAV targets $1.34 (+151.0%), versus Regime Cross at $0.01 (-98.1%). This +249.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ATYR?

9 of 13 models are currently active for ATYR. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ATYR's intrinsic value at $0.18, implying -65.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ATYR Rank in Biotechnology?

Among 76 Biotechnology stocks, ATYR ranks #37 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Biotechnology Stocks →

aTyr Pharma, Inc.'s positioning within the Biotechnology segment means that R&D burn rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including platform technology validation — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ATYR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ATYR a score of 51/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for aTyr Pharma, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, aTyr Pharma, Inc. earns a quality score of 5.0/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +249.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ATYR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ATYR's 9 active models, average confidence is 22%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy aTyr Pharma, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Biotechnology Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Biotechnology stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: ADMA · AUPH · ACAD · ALNY · ACRS

See all Biotechnology stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About aTyr Pharma, Inc.

What is aTyr Pharma, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, aTyr Pharma, Inc. (ATYR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.18. The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ATYR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.53, 5 of 9 active models suggest ATYR may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $0.55, within 2.9% of the current price of $0.53 — a consensus view that ATYR is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits aTyr Pharma, Inc.'s business model in Biotechnology.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for ATYR?

aTyr Pharma, Inc.'s QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ATYR?

CirclFi analyzes ATYR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ATYR a value trap in 2026?

aTyr Pharma, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 51/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, aTyr Pharma, Inc. (ATYR) has a median fair value of $0.55 — within 2.9% of the current price of $0.53 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ATYR/ · Methodology

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