Asure Software Inc (ASUR) Fair Value 2026

ASUR · Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Asure Software Inc (ASUR) trades at $8.18, approximately 40% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $13.74. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ASUR
Price
$8.18
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +297.5% upside with 51% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.18)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$13.74 +68.0%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$15.90 +94.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$9.05 +10.6%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$32.51 +297.5%

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What Is Asure Software Inc (ASUR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Asure Software Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $9.94, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $8.18. While the average implied return is +21.6%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +365.7% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $32.51 (+297.5%), while Sentiment SOTP — the most conservative — estimates $2.60 (-68.2%). This +365.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Asure Software Inc's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ASUR?

11 of 13 models are currently active for ASUR. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ASUR's intrinsic value at $13.74, implying +68.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ASUR Rank in Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design?

Among 44 Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design stocks, ASUR ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design Stocks →

Asure Software Inc operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ASUR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ASUR a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Asure Software Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Asure Software Inc's fundamental quality profile registers 6.5/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +365.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ASUR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ASUR's 11 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Asure Software Inc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: GDDY · JKHY · LDOS · SAIC · NTCT

See all Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Asure Software Inc

What is Asure Software Inc's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Asure Software Inc (ASUR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $13.74. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ASUR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.18, 4 of 11 active models suggest ASUR may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Asure Software Inc's business model in Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for ASUR?

Asure Software Inc's QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ASUR?

CirclFi analyzes ASUR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ASUR a value trap in 2026?

Asure Software Inc's Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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