Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9 (AOMN) Fair Value 2026

AOMN · Real Estate ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (10/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9 (AOMN) trades at $25.50. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 10/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AOMN
Price
$25.50
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
10/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +15.9% upside with 48% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (7/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($25.50)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$28.28 +10.9%
Markov DDM
Medium Conviction
$29.56 +15.9%
RCMH-DCF
Medium Conviction
$2.75 -89.2%

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What Is Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9 (AOMN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9's intrinsic value is estimated at $22.42, suggesting a -12.1% average upside from the current price of $25.50. While 4 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $36.93 (+44.8%), versus RCMH-DCF at $2.75 (-89.2%). This +134.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About AOMN?

7 of 13 models are currently active for AOMN. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AOMN Rank in Real Estate?

Among 35 Real Estate stocks, AOMN ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Stocks →

As a real estate investment trust, Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9 operates in a sector where net asset value (NAV) premium/discount is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating AOMN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is AOMN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AOMN a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9's fundamental quality profile registers 6.6/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +134.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AOMN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AOMN's 7 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9 Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9

What is Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9 (AOMN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AOMN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $25.50, 5 of 7 active models suggest AOMN may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9's business model in Real Estate.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for AOMN?

Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9's QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AOMN?

CirclFi analyzes AOMN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AOMN a value trap in 2026?

Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. 9's Value Trap score is 10/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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