Akari Therapeutics Plc (AKTX) Fair Value 2026

AKTX · Biotechnology ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Akari Therapeutics Plc (AKTX) trades at $12.07, approximately 353% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.67. QOC: 2.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AKTX
Price
$12.07
Quality Score
2.4/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: 7 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.4/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Akari Therapeutics Plc (AKTX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Akari Therapeutics Plc (AKTX) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $8.16, 32.4% below the current price of $12.07. Estimates range from $2.26 to $14.94. AKTX scores 2.4/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Akari Therapeutics Plc Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($12.07)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$2.67 -77.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$8.16 -32.4%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$11.03 -8.6%

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What Is Akari Therapeutics Plc (AKTX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Akari Therapeutics Plc's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $8.18. Trading at $12.07, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -32.3%), as 5 of 7 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, Sentiment SOTP, places fair value at $14.94 (+23.8%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $2.26 (-81.3%). This +105.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Akari Therapeutics Plc's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About AKTX?

7 of 13 models are currently active for AKTX. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AKTX's intrinsic value at $2.67, implying -77.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AKTX Rank in Biotechnology?

Among 76 Biotechnology stocks, AKTX ranks #69 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.4 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Biotechnology Stocks →

The Biotechnology sector introduces analytical considerations specific to biotech businesses. For Akari Therapeutics Plc, metrics like clinical trial success rate provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is AKTX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AKTX a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Akari Therapeutics Plc. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Akari Therapeutics Plc scores 2.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +105.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AKTX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AKTX's 7 active models, average confidence is 13%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Akari Therapeutics Plc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Biotechnology Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Biotechnology stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: ADMA · AUPH · ACAD · ALNY · ACRS

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Frequently Asked Questions About Akari Therapeutics Plc

What is Akari Therapeutics Plc's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Akari Therapeutics Plc (AKTX) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.67. The Quality of Company score is 2.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AKTX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $12.07, 1 of 7 active models suggest AKTX may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $8.16, 32.4% below the current price of $12.07 — a consensus view that AKTX is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Akari Therapeutics Plc's business model in Biotechnology.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.4 mean for AKTX?

Akari Therapeutics Plc's QOC of 2.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AKTX?

CirclFi analyzes AKTX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AKTX a value trap in 2026?

Akari Therapeutics Plc's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Akari Therapeutics Plc (AKTX) has a median fair value of $8.16 — 32.4% below the current price of $12.07 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AKTX/ · Methodology

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