What Is AdaptHealth Corp. (AHCO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on AdaptHealth Corp. at its current price of $10.29. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $7.40 (-28.1% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +99.7% (fair value: $20.54), while EPV is the most conservative at -88.1% ($1.23). The spread between these extremes — +187.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About AHCO?
12 of 13 models are currently active for AHCO. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AHCO's intrinsic value at $2.17, implying -78.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AHCO Rank in Medical Devices?
Among 10 Medical Devices stocks, AHCO ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.
As a healthcare company, AdaptHealth Corp. operates in a sector where pipeline depth and stage distribution is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating AHCO should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is AHCO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AHCO a score of 23/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for AdaptHealth Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, AdaptHealth Corp.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.2/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +187.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AHCO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AHCO's 12 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad