SurgePays, Inc. (SURG) Fair Value 2026

SURG · Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, SurgePays, Inc. (SURG) trades at $0.33. QOC: 3.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SURG
Price
$0.33
Quality Score
3.8/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +492.7% upside with 3% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 3.8/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is SurgePays, Inc. (SURG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, SurgePays, Inc. (SURG) appears undervalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $0.37, 12.6% above the current price of $0.33. Estimates range from $0.03 to $1.93. SURG scores 3.8/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy SurgePays, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.33)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $0.18 -45.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $1.93 +492.7%
PWERM
Medium Conviction
 $0.61 +88.2%

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What Is SurgePays, Inc. (SURG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SurgePays, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $0.58, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $0.33. While the average implied return is +78.2%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +584.7% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, CUCE, places fair value at $1.93 (+492.7%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.03 (-92.1%). This +584.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about SurgePays, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SURG?

6 of 13 models are currently active for SURG. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SURG Rank in Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone)?

Among 19 Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) stocks, SURG ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.8 signals below-average fundamentals.

As a telecommunications sector, SurgePays, Inc. operates in a sector where content cost ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SURG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SURG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SURG a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for SurgePays, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, SurgePays, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 3.8/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +584.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SURG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SURG's 6 active models, average confidence is 19%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SurgePays, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) stocks with 13-model coverage

TKCTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri ASQOC 9.1IDTIDT CorporationQOC 8.9TDSTelephone and Data Systems, IncQOC 8.0VZVerizon Communications Inc.QOC 8.0VIVTelefonica Brasil S.A.QOC 7.8BCEBCE, Inc.QOC 7.7TIMBTIM S.A.QOC 7.7CXDOCrexendo, Inc.QOC 7.4

Read investment analysis: TKC · IDT · TDS · VZ · VIV

Frequently Asked Questions About SurgePays, Inc.

What is SurgePays, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, SurgePays, Inc. (SURG) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 3.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SURG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.33, 3 of 6 active models suggest SURG may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $0.37, 12.6% above the current price of $0.33 — a consensus view that SURG is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SurgePays, Inc.'s business model in Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone).

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.8 mean for SURG?

SurgePays, Inc.'s QOC of 3.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SURG?

CirclFi analyzes SURG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SURG a value trap in 2026?

SurgePays, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, SurgePays, Inc. (SURG) has a median fair value of $0.37 — 12.6% above the current price of $0.33 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SURG/ · Methodology

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