T Stamp Inc. (IDAI) Fair Value 2026

IDAI · Services-Prepackaged Software ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (39/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, T Stamp Inc. (IDAI) trades at $2.30, approximately 381% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.48. QOC: 4.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 39/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
IDAI
Price
$2.30
Quality Score
4.8/10
Value Trap Risk
39/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.8/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is T Stamp Inc. (IDAI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, T Stamp Inc. (IDAI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $1.13, 50.8% below the current price of $2.30. Estimates range from $0.18 to $2.13. IDAI scores 4.8/10 on fundamental quality and 39/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy T Stamp Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.30)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $0.48 -79.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $1.26 -45.3%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $0.90 -61.0%
Dynamic NAV
High Conviction
 $1.76 -23.3%

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What Is T Stamp Inc. (IDAI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, T Stamp Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.17, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $2.30. With 9 out of 9 models flagging downside (-49.0% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $2.13 (-7.4%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.18 (-92.0%). This +84.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about T Stamp Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About IDAI?

9 of 13 models are currently active for IDAI. All 9 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates IDAI's intrinsic value at $0.48, implying -79.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does IDAI Rank in Services-Prepackaged Software?

Among 205 Services-Prepackaged Software stocks, IDAI ranks #166 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks →

As a technology sector, T Stamp Inc. operates in a sector where annual recurring revenue (ARR) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating IDAI should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is IDAI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns IDAI a score of 39/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for T Stamp Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, T Stamp Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 4.8/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +84.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every IDAI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across IDAI's 9 active models, average confidence is 27%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy T Stamp Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Prepackaged Software stocks with 13-model coverage

CRMSalesforce, Inc.QOC 10.0CVLTCommvault Systems, Inc.QOC 10.0EGANeGain CorporationQOC 10.0MANHManhattan Associates, Inc.QOC 10.0MSFTMicrosoft CorporationQOC 10.0NTESNetEase, Inc.QOC 10.0PCTYPaylocity Holding CorporationQOC 10.0VEEVVeeva Systems Inc.QOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CRM · CVLT · EGAN · MANH · MSFT

See all Services-Prepackaged Software stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About T Stamp Inc.

What is T Stamp Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, T Stamp Inc. (IDAI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.48. The Quality of Company score is 4.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is IDAI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.30, 0 of 9 active models suggest IDAI may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $1.13, 50.8% below the current price of $2.30 — a consensus view that IDAI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits T Stamp Inc.'s business model in Services-Prepackaged Software.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.8 mean for IDAI?

T Stamp Inc.'s QOC of 4.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on IDAI?

CirclFi analyzes IDAI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is IDAI a value trap in 2026?

T Stamp Inc.'s Value Trap score is 39/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, T Stamp Inc. (IDAI) has a median fair value of $1.13 — 50.8% below the current price of $2.30 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/IDAI/ · Methodology

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