What Is Hovnanian Enterprises Inc - Dep (HOVNP) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hovnanian Enterprises Inc - Dep's intrinsic value is estimated at $32.90, suggesting a +60.3% average upside from the current price of $20.53. While 3 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: EROIC targets $48.73 (+137.4%), versus Sentiment SOTP at $11.43 (-44.3%). This +181.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About HOVNP?
5 of 13 models are currently active for HOVNP. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does HOVNP Rank in Operative Builders?
Among 19 Operative Builders stocks, HOVNP ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc - Dep operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is HOVNP a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for HOVNP. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
5 of 13 models are active for Hovnanian Enterprises Inc - Dep. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Hovnanian Enterprises Inc - Dep is rated at 7.1/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +181.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every HOVNP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across HOVNP's 5 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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