What Is Dillard's, Inc. (DDS) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Dillard's, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $637.45, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $525.95. While the average implied return is +21.2%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +378.5% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $2,178.24 (+314.2%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $187.65 (-64.3%). This +378.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Dillard's, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About DDS?
13 of 13 models are currently active for DDS. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DDS's intrinsic value at $611.45, implying +16.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does DDS Rank in Retail-Department Stores?
Among 5 Retail-Department Stores stocks, DDS ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.9 places DDS in the top tier.
Within the Retail-Department Stores space, Dillard's, Inc. competes in an environment where same-store sales growth (comps) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is DDS a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DDS a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Dillard's, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Dillard's, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.9/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +378.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every DDS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across DDS's 13 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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