VSEC vs XTIA Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

Quick Summary — VSEC scores higher on quality with 6.4/10 vs XTIA's 4.7/10. VSEC trades at $180.19 while XTIA trades at $2.04. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

VSEC

Aerospace & Defense

VSE Corporation

Quality

6.4

out of 10

Value Trap

34

LOW

Price

$180.19

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

VS

XTIA

Aerospace & Defense

XTI Aerospace, Inc.

Quality

4.7

out of 10

Value Trap

40

WARN

Price

$2.04

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

VSEC

2 models active

Limited to 2/13 visible models

XTIA

2 models active

Value Trap 40/100 — caution

VSEC vs XTIA — Fair Value Comparison

VSEC

XTIA

Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	VSEC Fair Value	VSEC Upside	XTIA Fair Value	XTIA Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$33.09	-81.6%	$0.32	-84.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$74.29	-58.8%	$1.25	-36.3%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

VSEC vs XTIA — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

VSEC scores higher with a 6.4/10 quality rating vs XTIA's 4.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do VSEC and XTIA Valuations Compare?

At $180.19, VSEC trades +81.6% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $33.09, while XTIA at $2.04 trades +84.5% above its estimate of $0.32. XTIA shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: VSEC vs XTIA

VSEC earns a Quality of Company score of 6.4/10 compared to XTIA's 4.7/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: VSEC vs XTIA

VSEC carries a LOW value trap risk (34/100) while XTIA shows WARN risk (40/100). Stocks with value trap scores above 40 may appear undervalued but face deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue can make the apparent discount a trap.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both VSEC and XTIA operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

2 of 13 MODELS UNLOCKED

You’re comparing 2 models. 11 more have an opinion.

11 hidden models compare VSEC vs XTIA differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.

11 additional fair values per stock Full confidence breakdown Live terminal — 5,000+ stocks

Bloomberg Terminal: ~$2,000/mo · FactSet: ~$1,000/mo · CirclFi: $0.90/day

See All 13 Models — $0.90/day

We don’t predict prices. We show you what 13 independent mathematical frameworks say a stock is worth — and let you decide.

VSEC

View Full VSE Corporation Analysis →

XTIA

View Full XTI Aerospace, Inc. Analysis →

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks →