VSEC vs VVX

VSE Corporation vs V2X, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — VVX scores higher on quality with 8.7/10 vs VSEC's 6.4/10. VSEC trades at $180.19 while VVX trades at $83.22. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

VSEC

Aerospace & Defense
VSE Corporation
Quality
6.4
out of 10
Value Trap
34
LOW
Price
$180.19
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

VVX

Aerospace & Defense
V2X, Inc.
Quality
8.7
out of 10
Value Trap
31
LOW
Price
$83.22
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VSEC
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
VVX
Quality Score 8.7/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

VSEC vs VVX — Fair Value Comparison

VSEC
$0$71$142$213 Price$180.19 Bayesian …$33.09 (-81.6%) Earnings …$74.29 (-58.8%)
VVX
$0$33$65$98 Price$83.22 Bayesian …$46.10 (-44.6%) Earnings …$10.87 (-86.9%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType VSEC Fair ValueVSEC Upside VVX Fair ValueVVX Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $33.09 -81.6% $46.10 -44.6%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $74.29 -58.8% $10.87 -86.9%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

VSEC vs VVX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

VVX scores higher with a 8.7/10 quality rating vs VSEC's 6.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do VSEC and VVX Valuations Compare?

At $180.19, VSEC trades +81.6% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $33.09, while VVX at $83.22 trades +44.6% above its estimate of $46.10. VSEC shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: VSEC vs VVX

VSEC earns a Quality of Company score of 6.4/10 compared to VVX's 8.7/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: VSEC vs VVX

VSEC carries a LOW value trap risk (34/100) while VVX shows LOW risk (31/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both VSEC and VVX operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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