RCAT vs RTX

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. vs RTX Corporation — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — RCAT scores higher on quality with 5.9/10 vs RTX's 5.1/10. RCAT trades at $14.95 while RTX trades at $174.26. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

RCAT

Aerospace & Defense
Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
Quality
5.9
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$14.95
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

RTX

Aerospace & Defense
RTX Corporation
Quality
5.1
out of 10
Value Trap
36
LOW
Price
$174.26
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
RCAT
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
RTX
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models

RCAT vs RTX — Fair Value Comparison

RCAT
$0$6$12$18 Price$14.95 Bayesian …$4.83 (-67.7%) Earnings …$1.78 (-84.2%)
RTX
$0$69$137$206 Price$174.26 Bayesian …$15.95 (-90.8%) Earnings …$33.08 (-81.0%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType RCAT Fair ValueRCAT Upside RTX Fair ValueRTX Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $4.83 -67.7% $15.95 -90.8%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $1.78 -84.2% $33.08 -81.0%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

RCAT vs RTX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

RCAT scores higher with a 5.9/10 quality rating vs RTX's 5.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do RCAT and RTX Valuations Compare?

At $14.95, RCAT trades +67.7% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.83, while RTX at $174.26 trades +90.8% above its estimate of $15.95. RTX shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: RCAT vs RTX

RCAT earns a Quality of Company score of 5.9/10 compared to RTX's 5.1/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: RCAT vs RTX

RCAT carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while RTX shows LOW risk (36/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both RCAT and RTX operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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