MOB vs OPXS

Mobilicom Limited vs Optex Systems Holdings, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — OPXS scores higher on quality with 9.9/10 vs MOB's 1.7/10. MOB trades at $7.36 while OPXS trades at $11.95. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MOB

Aerospace & Defense
Mobilicom Limited
Quality
1.7
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$7.36
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
VS

OPXS

Aerospace & Defense
Optex Systems Holdings, Inc.
Quality
9.9
out of 10
Value Trap
6
SAFE
Price
$11.95
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
MOB
2 models active
Quality 1.7/10 — below average
OPXS
Quality Score 9.9/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

MOB vs OPXS — Fair Value Comparison

MOB
$0$3$6$9 Price$7.36 Bayesian …$1.91 (-74.0%) RCMH-DCF$1.77 (-65.3%)
OPXS
$0$5$9$14 Price$11.95 Bayesian …$6.24 (-47.8%) Earnings …$8.57 (-28.3%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType MOB Fair ValueMOB Upside OPXS Fair ValueOPXS Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $1.91 -74.0% $6.24 -47.8%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $8.57 -28.3%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $1.77 -65.3% $11.49 -3.8%

MOB vs OPXS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

OPXS scores higher with a 9.9/10 quality rating vs MOB's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MOB and OPXS Valuations Compare?

At $7.36, MOB trades +74.0% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.91, while OPXS at $11.95 trades +47.8% above its estimate of $6.24. MOB shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: MOB vs OPXS

MOB earns a Quality of Company score of 1.7/10 compared to OPXS's 9.9/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MOB vs OPXS

Review the value trap analysis for both MOB and OPXS to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both MOB and OPXS operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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