MDA vs MOB

MDA Space Ltd. vs Mobilicom Limited — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — MDA scores higher on quality with 1.7/10 vs MOB's 1.7/10. MDA trades at $42.88 while MOB trades at $7.36. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

MDA

Aerospace & Defense
MDA Space Ltd.
Quality
1.7
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$42.88
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

MOB

Aerospace & Defense
Mobilicom Limited
Quality
1.7
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$7.36
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
MDA
2 models active
Quality 1.7/10 — below average
MOB
2 models active
Quality 1.7/10 — below average

MDA vs MOB — Fair Value Comparison

MDA
$0$17$34$51 Price$42.88 Bayesian …$12.40 (-71.1%) Earnings …$14.03 (-56.5%)
MOB
$0$3$6$9 Price$7.36 Bayesian …$1.91 (-74.0%) RCMH-DCF$1.77 (-65.3%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType MDA Fair ValueMDA Upside MOB Fair ValueMOB Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $12.40 -71.1% $1.91 -74.0%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $14.03 -56.5%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $1.77 -65.3%

MDA vs MOB — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

MDA scores higher with a 1.7/10 quality rating vs MOB's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do MDA and MOB Valuations Compare?

At $42.88, MDA trades +71.1% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $12.40, while MOB at $7.36 trades +74.0% above its estimate of $1.91. MOB shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: MDA vs MOB

MDA earns a Quality of Company score of 1.7/10 compared to MOB's 1.7/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: MDA vs MOB

Review the value trap analysis for both MDA and MOB to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both MDA and MOB operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

2 of 13 MODELS UNLOCKED

You’re comparing 2 models. 11 more have an opinion.

11 hidden models compare MDA vs MOB differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.

11 additional fair values per stock Full confidence breakdown Live terminal — 5,000+ stocks

Bloomberg Terminal: ~$2,000/mo  ·  FactSet: ~$1,000/mo  ·  CirclFi: $0.90/day

See All 13 Models — $0.90/day

We don’t predict prices. We show you what 13 independent mathematical frameworks say a stock is worth — and let you decide.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks →