KRMN vs LUNR Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

Quick Summary — KRMN scores higher on quality with 7.7/10 vs LUNR's 4.6/10. KRMN trades at $54.65 while LUNR trades at $39.57. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

KRMN

Aerospace & Defense

Karman Holdings Inc.

Quality

7.7

out of 10

Value Trap

6

SAFE

Price

$54.65

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

VS

LUNR

Aerospace & Defense

Intuitive Machines, Inc.

Quality

4.6

out of 10

Value Trap

26

LOW

Price

$39.57

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

KRMN

2 models active

Limited to 2/13 visible models

LUNR

2 models active

Quality 4.6/10 — below average

KRMN vs LUNR — Fair Value Comparison

KRMN

LUNR

Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	KRMN Fair Value	KRMN Upside	LUNR Fair Value	LUNR Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	—	—	$11.54	-70.8%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$1.53	-97.5%	$11.87	-53.5%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$1.48	-97.3%	—	—

KRMN vs LUNR — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

KRMN scores higher with a 7.7/10 quality rating vs LUNR's 4.6/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do KRMN and LUNR Valuations Compare?

KRMN currently trades at $54.65 while LUNR trades at $39.57. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: KRMN vs LUNR

KRMN earns a Quality of Company score of 7.7/10 compared to LUNR's 4.6/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: KRMN vs LUNR

KRMN carries a SAFE value trap risk (6/100) while LUNR shows LOW risk (26/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both KRMN and LUNR operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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KRMN

View Full Karman Holdings Inc. Analysis →

LUNR

View Full Intuitive Machines, Inc. Analysis →

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