BWXT vs DFNS

BWX Technologies, Inc. vs T3 Defense Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — BWXT scores higher on quality with 9.4/10 vs DFNS's 4.0/10. BWXT trades at $187.26 while DFNS trades at $0.33. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

BWXT

Aerospace & Defense
BWX Technologies, Inc.
Quality
9.4
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$187.26
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

DFNS

Aerospace & Defense
T3 Defense Inc.
Quality
4.0
out of 10
Value Trap
30
LOW
Price
$0.33
Last close
Models
2/13
Active
BWXT
Quality Score 9.4/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
DFNS
PWERM sees +175.4% upside
Quality 4.0/10 — below average

BWXT vs DFNS — Fair Value Comparison

BWXT
$0$74$147$221 Price$187.26 Bayesian …$7.03 (-96.7%) EROIC Spr…$23.27 (-89.2%)
DFNS
$0$0$1$1 Price$0.33 EROIC Spr…$0.42 (-10.5%) PWERM$1.02 (+175.4%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType BWXT Fair ValueBWXT Upside DFNS Fair ValueDFNS Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $7.03 -96.7%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $23.27 -89.2% $0.42 -10.5%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $32.00 -82.9% $1.02 +175.4%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

BWXT vs DFNS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

BWXT scores higher with a 9.4/10 quality rating vs DFNS's 4.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do BWXT and DFNS Valuations Compare?

BWXT currently trades at $187.26 while DFNS trades at $0.33. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: BWXT vs DFNS

BWXT earns a Quality of Company score of 9.4/10 compared to DFNS's 4.0/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: BWXT vs DFNS

Review the value trap analysis for both BWXT and DFNS to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both BWXT and DFNS operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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