BWXT vs CDRE

BWX Technologies, Inc. vs Cadre Holdings, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — BWXT scores higher on quality with 9.4/10 vs CDRE's 8.8/10. BWXT trades at $187.26 while CDRE trades at $30.20. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

BWXT

Aerospace & Defense
BWX Technologies, Inc.
Quality
9.4
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$187.26
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

CDRE

Aerospace & Defense
Cadre Holdings, Inc.
Quality
8.8
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$30.20
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
BWXT
Quality Score 9.4/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
CDRE
Quality Score 8.8/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

BWXT vs CDRE — Fair Value Comparison

BWXT
$0$74$147$221 Price$187.26 Bayesian …$7.03 (-96.7%) EROIC Spr…$23.27 (-89.2%)
CDRE
$0$12$24$36 Price$30.20 Bayesian …$11.11 (-63.2%) Earnings …$1.38 (-95.4%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType BWXT Fair ValueBWXT Upside CDRE Fair ValueCDRE Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $7.03 -96.7% $11.11 -63.2%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $1.38 -95.4%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $23.27 -89.2% $5.20 -82.8%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

BWXT vs CDRE — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

BWXT scores higher with a 9.4/10 quality rating vs CDRE's 8.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do BWXT and CDRE Valuations Compare?

At $187.26, BWXT trades +96.7% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $7.03, while CDRE at $30.20 trades +63.2% above its estimate of $11.11. BWXT shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: BWXT vs CDRE

BWXT earns a Quality of Company score of 9.4/10 compared to CDRE's 8.8/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: BWXT vs CDRE

Review the value trap analysis for both BWXT and CDRE to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both BWXT and CDRE operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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