BA vs BWXT

Boeing Company (The) vs BWX Technologies, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — BWXT scores higher on quality with 9.4/10 vs BA's 6.1/10. BA trades at $217.70 while BWXT trades at $187.26. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

BA

Aerospace & Defense
Boeing Company (The)
Quality
6.1
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$217.70
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

BWXT

Aerospace & Defense
BWX Technologies, Inc.
Quality
9.4
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$187.26
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
BA
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
BWXT
Quality Score 9.4/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

BA vs BWXT — Fair Value Comparison

BA
$0$86$171$257 Price$217.70 Bayesian …$26.28 (-87.9%) ML-RIV$49.27 (-78.5%)
BWXT
$0$74$147$221 Price$187.26 Bayesian …$7.03 (-96.7%) EROIC Spr…$23.27 (-89.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType BA Fair ValueBA Upside BWXT Fair ValueBWXT Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $26.28 -87.9% $7.03 -96.7%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $7.83 -96.6% $23.27 -89.2%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $49.27 -78.5% $76.78 -59.0%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

BA vs BWXT — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

BWXT scores higher with a 9.4/10 quality rating vs BA's 6.1/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do BA and BWXT Valuations Compare?

At $217.70, BA trades +87.9% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $26.28, while BWXT at $187.26 trades +96.7% above its estimate of $7.03. BWXT shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: BA vs BWXT

BA earns a Quality of Company score of 6.1/10 compared to BWXT's 9.4/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: BA vs BWXT

Review the value trap analysis for both BA and BWXT to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both BA and BWXT operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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