Vivani Medical, Inc. (VANI) Fair Value 2026

VANI · Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Vivani Medical, Inc. (VANI) trades at $1.41, approximately 296% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.36. QOC: 4.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
VANI
Price
$1.41
Quality Score
4.8/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +25.5% upside with 15% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.8/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Vivani Medical, Inc. (VANI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Vivani Medical, Inc. (VANI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $0.67, 52.7% below the current price of $1.41. Estimates range from $0.32 to $1.77. VANI scores 4.8/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Vivani Medical, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.41)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.36 -74.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$0.67 -52.7%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$1.77 +25.5%

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What Is Vivani Medical, Inc. (VANI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Vivani Medical, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $0.90. Trading at $1.41, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -35.9%), as 5 of 7 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $1.77 (+25.5%), versus ML-RIV at $0.32 (-77.4%). This +102.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About VANI?

7 of 13 models are currently active for VANI. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates VANI's intrinsic value at $0.36, implying -74.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VANI Rank in Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus?

Among 25 Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus stocks, VANI ranks #22 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Vivani Medical, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is VANI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VANI a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Vivani Medical, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Vivani Medical, Inc. scores 4.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +102.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VANI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VANI's 7 active models, average confidence is 27%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Vivani Medical, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: INMD · ELMD · LIVN · CNMD · ITGR

Frequently Asked Questions About Vivani Medical, Inc.

What is Vivani Medical, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Vivani Medical, Inc. (VANI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.36. The Quality of Company score is 4.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VANI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.41, 1 of 7 active models suggest VANI may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $0.67, 52.7% below the current price of $1.41 — a consensus view that VANI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Vivani Medical, Inc.'s business model in Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.8 mean for VANI?

Vivani Medical, Inc.'s QOC of 4.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VANI?

CirclFi analyzes VANI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is VANI a value trap in 2026?

Vivani Medical, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Vivani Medical, Inc. (VANI) has a median fair value of $0.67 — 52.7% below the current price of $1.41 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VANI/ · Methodology

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