What Is Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Trinity Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $25.84. Trading at $36.52, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -29.3%), as 9 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, Dynamic NAV sees the most upside at +58.5% (fair value: $57.90), while First Chicago is the most conservative at -89.0% ($4.01). The spread between these extremes — +147.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About TRN?
13 of 13 models are currently active for TRN. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TRN's intrinsic value at $5.81, implying -84.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does TRN Rank in Railroad Equipment?
Among 5 Railroad Equipment stocks, TRN ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.
The Railroad Equipment sector introduces analytical considerations specific to vehicle manufacturer businesses. For Trinity Industries, Inc., metrics like EBIT per unit provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is TRN a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TRN a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Trinity Industries, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Trinity Industries, Inc. earns a quality score of 4.7/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +147.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every TRN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across TRN's 13 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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