TIC Solutions, Inc. (TIC) Fair Value 2026

TIC · Services-Business Services, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, TIC Solutions, Inc. (TIC) trades at $7.15, approximately 71% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.19. QOC: 5.8/10. 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TIC
Price
$7.15
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is TIC Solutions, Inc. (TIC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, TIC Solutions, Inc. (TIC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $5.92, 17.3% below the current price of $7.15. Estimates range from $1.39 to $10.03. TIC scores 5.8/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy TIC Solutions, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$4.19 -41.4%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$6.01 -16.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$5.92 -17.3%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$7.03 -1.7%

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What Is TIC Solutions, Inc. (TIC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TIC Solutions, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $5.52. Trading at $7.15, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -22.8%), as 7 of 11 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $10.03 (+40.2%), versus Sentiment SOTP at $1.39 (-80.6%). This +120.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About TIC?

11 of 13 models are currently active for TIC. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TIC's intrinsic value at $4.19, implying -41.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TIC Rank in Services-Business Services, NEC?

Among 94 Services-Business Services, NEC stocks, TIC ranks #65 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Business Services, NEC Stocks →

TIC Solutions, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is TIC a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for TIC. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for TIC Solutions, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TIC Solutions, Inc. scores 5.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +120.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TIC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TIC's 11 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy TIC Solutions, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Business Services, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Business Services, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CART · EXLS · FICO · PDD · TCOM

See all Services-Business Services, NEC stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About TIC Solutions, Inc.

What is TIC Solutions, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, TIC Solutions, Inc. (TIC) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $4.19. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TIC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.15, 2 of 11 active models suggest TIC may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $5.92, 17.3% below the current price of $7.15 — a consensus view that TIC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits TIC Solutions, Inc.'s business model in Services-Business Services, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for TIC?

TIC Solutions, Inc.'s QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TIC?

CirclFi analyzes TIC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TIC a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for TIC at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, TIC Solutions, Inc. (TIC) has a median fair value of $5.92 — 17.3% below the current price of $7.15 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TIC/ · Methodology

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