OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) Fair Value 2026

SVRN · Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) trades at $8.15, approximately 134% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.49. QOC: 4.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SVRN
Price
$8.15
Quality Score
4.0/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +80.3% upside with 33% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $6.57, 19.4% below the current price of $8.15. Estimates range from $0.28 to $34.21. SVRN scores 4.0/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy OceanPal Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$3.49 -57.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$10.26 +25.9%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$2.61 -68.0%
Markov DDM
Medium Conviction
$14.70 +80.3%

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What Is OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, OceanPal Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $8.15. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $9.21 (+12.9% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 4 bullish models and 5 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Dynamic NAV targets $34.21 (+319.7%), versus ML-RIV at $0.28 (-96.5%). This +416.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About SVRN?

10 of 13 models are currently active for SVRN. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SVRN's intrinsic value at $3.49, implying -57.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SVRN Rank in Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight?

Among 43 Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight stocks, SVRN ranks #33 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.0 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight Stocks →

As a transportation company, OceanPal Inc. operates in a sector where fleet electrification pace is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SVRN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SVRN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SVRN a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for OceanPal Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, OceanPal Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 4.0/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +416.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SVRN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SVRN's 10 active models, average confidence is 17%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy OceanPal Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: GSL · ECO · DHT · CMRE · NMM

See all Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About OceanPal Inc.

What is OceanPal Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.49. The Quality of Company score is 4.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SVRN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.15, 5 of 10 active models suggest SVRN may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $6.57, 19.4% below the current price of $8.15 — a consensus view that SVRN is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits OceanPal Inc.'s business model in Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.0 mean for SVRN?

OceanPal Inc.'s QOC of 4.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SVRN?

CirclFi analyzes SVRN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SVRN a value trap in 2026?

OceanPal Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, OceanPal Inc. (SVRN) has a median fair value of $6.57 — 19.4% below the current price of $8.15 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SVRN/ · Methodology

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