Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) Fair Value 2026

SFIX · Apparel Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (29/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) trades at $3.15, versus a $1.20 median fair value across its 5 active models — 61.9% below the current price. QOC: 6.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 29/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $0.64.

Key Facts

Ticker
SFIX
Price
$3.15
Quality Score
6.2/10
Value Trap Risk
29/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) appears overvalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $1.20, 61.9% below the current price of $3.15. Estimates range from $0.16 to $4.09. SFIX scores 6.2/10 on fundamental quality and 29/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. SFIX’s -61.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Apparel Retail sector median is +3.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Stitch Fix, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SFIX?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.64 -79.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $1.20 -61.9%
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What Is SFIX's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $0.16 to $4.09

CirclFi's 5 active models place Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) between $0.16 and $4.09 per share, a spread of 329% of the median. The median of that range — $1.20 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SFIX, against a current price of $3.15.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$0.16median $1.20$4.09
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$0.16
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$4.09
Model agreement1 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SFIX. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SFIX, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Stitch Fix, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.20. Trading at its current price of $3.15, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 4 of 5 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -61.9%. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $4.09 (+30.1%), versus Dynamic NAV at $0.16 (-95.1%). This +125.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About SFIX?

5 of 13 models are currently active for SFIX. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SFIX is $1.20 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $0.64 on its own, implying -79.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SFIX Rank in Apparel Retail?

Among 35 Apparel Retail stocks, SFIX ranks #25 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.

The Apparel Retail sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer-facing company businesses. For Stitch Fix, Inc., metrics like brand equity index provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is SFIX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SFIX a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Stitch Fix, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Stitch Fix, Inc. scores 6.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +125.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SFIX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SFIX's 5 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Stitch Fix, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Apparel Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Apparel Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

DXLGDestination XL Group, Inc.QOC 6.2CURVTorrid Holdings Inc.QOC 6.0CATOThe Cato CorporationQOC 6.3AKAa.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.QOC 5.9DLTHDuluth Holdings Inc.QOC 6.4RENTRent the Runway, Inc.QOC 5.9LVLULulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.1IVDNInnovative Designs, Inc.QOC 8.5GCOGenesco Inc.QOC 7.6BKEThe Buckle, Inc.QOC 9.2ANFAbercrombie & Fitch Co.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: DXLG · CURV · CATO · AKA · DLTH · RENT · LVLU · IVDN · GCO · BKE · ANF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SFIX?

7 companies across all industries closest to SFIX’s Quality of Company score of 6.2/10.

DERMJourney Medical CorporationQOC 6.2FMCFMC CorporationQOC 6.2LILALiberty Latin America Ltd.QOC 6.2BCHTBirchtech Corp.QOC 6.2SASeabridge Gold Inc.QOC 6.2SMTKSmartKem, Inc.QOC 6.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DERM · FMC · LILA · BCHT · SA · SMTK · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Stitch Fix, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Stitch Fix, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX)'s intrinsic value at $1.20 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.16 to $4.09. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $0.64 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SFIX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.15, 1 of 5 active models suggest SFIX may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $1.20, 61.9% below the current price of $3.15 — a consensus view that SFIX is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Stitch Fix, Inc.'s business model in Apparel Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.2 mean for SFIX?

Stitch Fix, Inc.'s QOC of 6.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SFIX?

CirclFi analyzes SFIX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SFIX?

Of the 5 models currently active on SFIX, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $4.09 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $0.16. CirclFi's published fair value for SFIX is the median of that range, $1.20, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 329% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SFIX a value trap in 2026?

Stitch Fix, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 29/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) has a median fair value of $1.20 — 61.9% below the current price of $3.15 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SFIX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SFIX valuation
  • Financial statements: Stitch Fix, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001576942) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SFIX as of ; valuations recomputed .

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