CDW Corporation (CDW) Fair Value 2026

CDW · Information Technology Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, CDW Corporation (CDW) trades at $148.97, versus a $126.22 median fair value across its 12 active models — 15.3% below the current price. QOC: 8.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $167.62.

Key Facts

Ticker
CDW
Price
$148.97
Quality Score
8.1/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +16.9% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is CDW Corporation (CDW) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, CDW Corporation (CDW) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $126.22, 15.3% below the current price of $148.97. Estimates range from $48.36 to $227.32. CDW scores 8.1/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CDW’s -15.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Information Technology Services sector median is +4.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy CDW Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CDW?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($148.97)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $167.62 +12.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $78.08 -47.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $123.80 -16.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $174.08 +16.9%
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What Is CDW's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $48.36 to $227.32

CirclFi's 12 active models place CDW Corporation (CDW) between $48.36 and $227.32 per share, a spread of 142% of the median. The median of that range — $126.22 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CDW, against a current price of $148.97.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$48.36median $126.22$227.32
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$48.36
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$227.32
Model agreement3 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CDW. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CDW, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is CDW Corporation (CDW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CDW Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $126.22. Trading at its current price of $148.97, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -15.3%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $227.32 (+52.6%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $48.36 (-67.5%). This +120.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about CDW Corporation's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CDW?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CDW. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CDW is $126.22 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $167.62 on its own, implying +12.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CDW Rank in Information Technology Services?

Among 83 Information Technology Services stocks, CDW ranks #22 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places CDW in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Information Technology Services Stocks →

CDW Corporation's positioning within the Information Technology Services segment means that net revenue retention (NRR) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including pricing power — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is CDW a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CDW a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for CDW Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CDW Corporation scores 8.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +120.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CDW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CDW's 12 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CDW Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Information Technology Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Information Technology Services stocks with 13-model coverage

PENGPenguin Solutions, Inc.QOC 8.2CACICACI International IncQOC 8.1VRRMVerra Mobility CorporationQOC 8.2IIIInformation Services Group, Inc.QOC 8.0EPAMEPAM Systems, Inc.QOC 8.2JFU9F Inc.QOC 8.0GTLLGlobal Technologies, Ltd.QOC 6.4APLDApplied Digital CorporationQOC 5.1INODInnodata Inc.QOC 9.3ITGartner, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: PENG · CACI · VRRM · III · EPAM · JFU · GTLL · APLD · INOD · IT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CDW?

7 companies across all industries closest to CDW’s Quality of Company score of 8.1/10.

WELLWelltower Inc.QOC 8.1RPRXRoyalty Pharma plcQOC 8.1UGUnited-Guardian, Inc.QOC 8.1AMSCAmerican Superconductor CorporationQOC 8.1FOURShift4 Payments, Inc.QOC 8.1CMICummins Inc.QOC 8.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WELL · RPRX · UG · AMSC · FOUR · CMI · NVDA

Where Does CDW Sit in CirclFi's Information Technology Services Rankings?

CDW is ranked against every other Information Technology Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Information Technology Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About CDW Corporation’s Valuation?

What is CDW Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts CDW Corporation (CDW)'s intrinsic value at $126.22 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $48.36 to $227.32. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $167.62 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CDW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $148.97, 3 of 12 active models suggest CDW may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $126.22, 15.3% below the current price of $148.97 — a consensus view that CDW is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CDW Corporation's business model in Information Technology Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.1 mean for CDW?

CDW Corporation's QOC of 8.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CDW?

CirclFi analyzes CDW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CDW?

Of the 12 models currently active on CDW, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $227.32 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $48.36. CirclFi's published fair value for CDW is the median of that range, $126.22, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 142% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CDW a value trap in 2026?

CDW Corporation's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, CDW Corporation (CDW) has a median fair value of $126.22 — 15.3% below the current price of $148.97 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CDW/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CDW valuation
  • Financial statements: CDW Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001402057) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CDW as of ; valuations recomputed .

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