Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP) Fair Value 2026

NLOP · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP) trades at $11.19, approximately 81% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $59.18. QOC: 6.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NLOP
Price
$11.19
Quality Score
6.2/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +428.9% upside with 53% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($11.19)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$59.18 +428.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$34.39 +207.3%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$8.89 -20.5%
Markov DDM
Medium Conviction
$37.17 +232.1%

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What Is Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Net Lease Office Properties's intrinsic value is estimated at $23.73, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $11.19. With an average implied return of +112.1% across a split 5–3 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +514.7% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +428.9% (fair value: $59.18), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -85.7% ($1.59). The spread between these extremes — +514.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About NLOP?

10 of 13 models are currently active for NLOP. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NLOP's intrinsic value at $59.18, implying +428.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NLOP Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 183 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, NLOP ranks #126 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

As a REIT, Net Lease Office Properties operates in a sector where same-property NOI growth is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NLOP should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is NLOP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NLOP a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Net Lease Office Properties. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Net Lease Office Properties's fundamental quality profile registers 6.2/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +514.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NLOP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NLOP's 10 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Net Lease Office Properties Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CUBE · EGP · SELF · EPRT · HHH

See all Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Net Lease Office Properties

What is Net Lease Office Properties's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $59.18. The Quality of Company score is 6.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NLOP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $11.19, 7 of 10 active models suggest NLOP may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Net Lease Office Properties's business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.2 mean for NLOP?

Net Lease Office Properties's QOC of 6.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NLOP?

CirclFi analyzes NLOP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NLOP a value trap in 2026?

Net Lease Office Properties's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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