Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S (LLYVK) Fair Value 2026

LLYVK · Services-Amusement & Recreation Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

— (—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S (LLYVK) trades at $101.42, approximately 317% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $24.30. QOC: 4.5/10. 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LLYVK
Price
$101.42
Quality Score
4.5/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: 10 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.5/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S (LLYVK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S (LLYVK) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $14.12, 86.1% below the current price of $101.42. Estimates range from $0.01 to $205.08. LLYVK scores 4.5/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($101.42)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $24.30 -76.0%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
 $2.28 -97.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $33.63 -66.8%
FTNN Topology
High Conviction
 $40.29 -60.3%

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What Is Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S (LLYVK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S's intrinsic value is estimated at $41.20. Trading at its current price of $101.42, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -59.4%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $205.08 (+102.2%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $0.01 (-100.0%). This +202.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About LLYVK?

10 of 13 models are currently active for LLYVK. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates LLYVK's intrinsic value at $24.30, implying -76.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LLYVK Rank in Services-Amusement & Recreation Services?

Among 20 Services-Amusement & Recreation Services stocks, LLYVK ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is LLYVK a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for LLYVK. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S scores 4.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +202.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LLYVK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LLYVK's 10 active models, average confidence is 21%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Amusement & Recreation Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Amusement & Recreation Services stocks with 13-model coverage

WMGWarner Music Group Corp.QOC 8.5RSVRReservoir Media, Inc..QOC 8.2TKOTKO Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.4LYVLive Nation Entertainment, Inc.QOC 7.1LUCKLUCKY STRIKE ENTERTAINMENT CORPQOC 6.9FTRKFAST TRACK GROUPQOC 6.8MANUManchesterQOC 6.2FUNSix Flags Entertainment CorporaQOC 6.2

Read investment analysis: WMG · RSVR · TKO · LYV · LUCK

Frequently Asked Questions About Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S

What is Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S (LLYVK) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $24.30. The Quality of Company score is 4.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LLYVK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $101.42, 1 of 10 active models suggest LLYVK may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $14.12, 86.1% below the current price of $101.42 — a consensus view that LLYVK is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S's business model in Services-Amusement & Recreation Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.5 mean for LLYVK?

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S's QOC of 4.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LLYVK?

CirclFi analyzes LLYVK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LLYVK a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for LLYVK at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S (LLYVK) has a median fair value of $14.12 — 86.1% below the current price of $101.42 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LLYVK/ · Methodology

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