Gray Media, Inc. (GTN) Fair Value 2026

GTN · Television Broadcasting Stations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Gray Media, Inc. (GTN) trades at $3.90. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GTN
Price
$3.90
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: 6 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.90)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
EROIC Spread
High Conviction
$3.67 -5.9%
Markov DDM
High Conviction
$2.92 -25.2%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
$0.94 -75.9%

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What Is Gray Media, Inc. (GTN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gray Media, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $3.91. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $8.06 (+106.5% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 3 bullish models and 3 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $17.74 (+354.2%), versus ML-RIV at $0.94 (-75.9%). This +430.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About GTN?

6 of 13 models are currently active for GTN. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GTN Rank in Television Broadcasting Stations?

Among 14 Television Broadcasting Stations stocks, GTN ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

As a media and communications company, Gray Media, Inc. operates in a sector where average revenue per user (ARPU) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating GTN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is GTN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GTN a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Gray Media, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Gray Media, Inc. is rated at 7.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +430.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GTN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GTN's 6 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Gray Media, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Television Broadcasting Stations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Television Broadcasting Stations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: NXST · FOXA · FOX · VSNT · SSP

Frequently Asked Questions About Gray Media, Inc.

What is Gray Media, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Gray Media, Inc. (GTN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GTN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.90, 3 of 6 active models suggest GTN may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Gray Media, Inc.'s business model in Television Broadcasting Stations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for GTN?

Gray Media, Inc.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GTN?

CirclFi analyzes GTN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GTN a value trap in 2026?

Gray Media, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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