Danaos Corporation (DAC) Fair Value 2026

DAC · Marine Shipping ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Danaos Corporation (DAC) trades at $165.94, versus a $97.17 median fair value across its 2 active models — 41.4% below the current price. QOC: 2.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DAC
Price
$165.94
Quality Score
2.7/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.7/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Danaos Corporation (DAC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Danaos Corporation (DAC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $97.17, 41.4% below the current price of $165.94. Estimates range from $38.31 to $156.03. DAC scores 2.7/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. DAC’s -41.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Marine Shipping sector median is -10.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Danaos Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give DAC?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($165.94)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $38.31 -76.9%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $156.03 -6.0%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Danaos Corporation (DAC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Danaos Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $97.17. Trading at its current price of $165.94, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 2 of 2 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -41.4%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $156.03 (-6.0%), versus Markov DDM at $38.31 (-76.9%). This +70.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About DAC?

2 of 13 models are currently active for DAC. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for DAC is $97.17 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DAC Rank in Marine Shipping?

Among 37 Marine Shipping stocks, DAC ranks #36 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.7 signals below-average fundamentals.

Danaos Corporation's positioning within the Marine Shipping segment means that inventory days supply plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including software-defined vehicle revenue — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is DAC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DAC a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Danaos Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Danaos Corporation scores 2.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +70.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DAC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DAC's 2 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Danaos Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Marine Shipping Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Marine Shipping stocks with 13-model coverage

UFGUni-Fuels Holdings LimitedQOC 2.7HTCOHigh-Trend International GroupQOC 2.3SBSafe Bulkers, Inc.QOC 2.7GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.QOC 9.3SHIPSeanergy Maritime Holdings CorpQOC 2.7CMRECostamare Inc.QOC 9.1PANLPangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.QOC 8.2PSHGPerformance Shipping Inc.QOC 7.2RUBIRubico Inc.QOC 5.5

Read investment analysis: UFG · HTCO · SB · GSL · SHIP · CMRE · PANL · PSHG · RUBI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to DAC?

7 companies across all industries closest to DAC’s Quality of Company score of 2.7/10.

HUDIHuadi International Group Co., Ltd.QOC 2.7HCMHUTCHMED (China) LimitedQOC 2.7TSEMTower Semiconductor Ltd.QOC 2.7DDIDoubleDown Interactive Co., Ltd.QOC 2.7WFGWest Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.QOC 2.7SQMSociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A.QOC 2.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: HUDI · HCM · TSEM · DDI · WFG · SQM · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Danaos Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Danaos Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Danaos Corporation (DAC)'s intrinsic value at $97.17 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $38.31 to $156.03. The Quality of Company score is 2.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DAC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $165.94, 0 of 2 active models suggest DAC may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $97.17, 41.4% below the current price of $165.94 — a consensus view that DAC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Danaos Corporation's business model in Marine Shipping.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.7 mean for DAC?

Danaos Corporation's QOC of 2.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DAC?

CirclFi analyzes DAC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is DAC a value trap in 2026?

Danaos Corporation's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Danaos Corporation (DAC) has a median fair value of $97.17 — 41.4% below the current price of $165.94 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/DAC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this DAC valuation
  • Financial statements: Danaos Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001369241) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for DAC as of ; valuations recomputed .