CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) Fair Value 2026

CVM · Biotechnology ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (51/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) trades at $1.56. QOC: 3.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 51/100 (WARN). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CVM
Price
$1.56
Quality Score
3.9/10
Value Trap Risk
51/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 51 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CVM?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.56)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
$0.77 -50.5%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CEL-SCI Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $0.77. Trading at its current price of $1.56, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 1 of 1 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -50.5%.

What Do the Models Say About CVM?

1 of 13 models are currently active for CVM. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CVM Rank in Biotechnology?

Among 625 Biotechnology stocks, CVM ranks #538 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.9 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Biotechnology Stocks →

CEL-SCI Corporation's positioning within the Biotechnology segment means that R&D burn rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including platform technology validation — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is CVM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CVM a score of 51/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for CEL-SCI Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CEL-SCI Corporation scores 3.9 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CVM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CVM's 1 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CEL-SCI Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Biotechnology Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Biotechnology stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: BCAB · PKTX · MBIO · PPCB · NERV · JSPR · INSM · VRCA · ANNX · EXEL · INCY

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CVM?

4 companies across all industries closest to CVM’s Quality of Company score of 3.9/10.

Read investment analysis: QSEP · MDCX · BLNE · NVDA

Where Does CVM Sit in CirclFi's Biotechnology Rankings?

CVM is ranked against every other Biotechnology stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Biotechnology stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About CEL-SCI Corporation’s Valuation?

What is CEL-SCI Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM). The Quality of Company score is 3.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CVM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.56, 0 of 1 active models suggest CVM may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CEL-SCI Corporation's business model in Biotechnology.

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.9 mean for CVM?

CEL-SCI Corporation's QOC of 3.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CVM?

CirclFi analyzes CVM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CVM a value trap in 2026?

CEL-SCI Corporation's Value Trap score is 51/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns CEL-SCI Corporation (CVM) a Quality of Company score of 3.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CVM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CVM valuation
  • Financial statements: CEL-SCI Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000725363) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CVM as of ; valuations recomputed .