Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) Fair Value 2026

CIM · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) trades at $12.91, approximately 66% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $38.40. QOC: 7.7/10. 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CIM
Price
$12.91
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +212.3% upside with 4% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($12.91)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$38.40 +197.4%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$21.63 +67.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$40.32 +212.3%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$17.37 +34.6%

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What Is Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Chimera Investment Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $27.86. At a current market price of $12.91, 9 of 10 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting an average implied return of +115.8%. Notably, CUCE sees the most upside at +212.3% (fair value: $40.32), while PWERM is the most conservative at +3.0% ($13.29). The spread between these extremes — +209.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CIM?

10 of 13 models are currently active for CIM. All 10 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates CIM's intrinsic value at $38.40, implying +197.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CIM Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 183 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, CIM ranks #44 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

Within the Real Estate Investment Trusts space, Chimera Investment Corporation competes in an environment where funds from operations (FFO) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is CIM a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for CIM. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Chimera Investment Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Chimera Investment Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 7.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +209.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CIM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CIM's 10 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Chimera Investment Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CUBE · EGP · SELF · EPRT · HHH

See all Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Chimera Investment Corporation

What is Chimera Investment Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $38.40. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CIM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $12.91, 10 of 10 active models suggest CIM may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Chimera Investment Corporation's business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for CIM?

Chimera Investment Corporation's QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CIM?

CirclFi analyzes CIM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CIM a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for CIM at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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