What Is Accelerant Holdings (ARX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Accelerant Holdings at its current price of $13.34. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $15.29 (+14.6% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +312.2% (fair value: $54.99), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -98.9% ($0.15). The spread between these extremes — +411.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About ARX?
12 of 13 models are currently active for ARX. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ARX's intrinsic value at $54.55, implying +308.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ARX Rank in Insurance Brokers?
Among 4 Insurance Brokers stocks, ARX ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.
Within the Insurance Brokers space, Accelerant Holdings competes in an environment where expense ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is ARX a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ARX. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Accelerant Holdings. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Accelerant Holdings's fundamental quality profile registers 6.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +411.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ARX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ARX's 12 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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