What Is Aon plc (AON) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Aon plc's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $310.33. Trading at $367.33, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -15.5%), as 8 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $857.29 (+133.4%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $72.01 (-80.4%). This +213.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Aon plc's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About AON?
12 of 13 models are currently active for AON. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AON's intrinsic value at $360.45, implying -1.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AON Rank in Insurance Brokers?
Among 4 Insurance Brokers stocks, AON ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places AON in the top tier.
The Insurance Brokers sector introduces analytical considerations specific to insurance industry businesses. For Aon plc, metrics like loss ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is AON a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AON a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Aon plc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Aon plc earns a quality score of 8.8/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +213.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AON valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AON's 12 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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