VSEC vs YSS

VSE Corporation vs York Space Systems Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — VSEC scores higher on quality with 6.4/10 vs YSS's 1.7/10. VSEC trades at $180.19 while YSS trades at $31.91. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

VSEC

Aerospace & Defense
VSE Corporation
Quality
6.4
out of 10
Value Trap
34
LOW
Price
$180.19
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

YSS

Aerospace & Defense
York Space Systems Inc.
Quality
1.7
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$31.91
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VSEC
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
YSS
2 models active
Quality 1.7/10 — below average

VSEC vs YSS — Fair Value Comparison

VSEC
$0$71$142$213 Price$180.19 Bayesian …$33.09 (-81.6%) Earnings …$74.29 (-58.8%)
YSS
$0$13$25$38 Price$31.91 Bayesian …$9.23 (-71.1%) Earnings …$13.51 (-56.5%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType VSEC Fair ValueVSEC Upside YSS Fair ValueYSS Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $33.09 -81.6% $9.23 -71.1%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $74.29 -58.8% $13.51 -56.5%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

VSEC vs YSS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

VSEC scores higher with a 6.4/10 quality rating vs YSS's 1.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do VSEC and YSS Valuations Compare?

At $180.19, VSEC trades +81.6% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $33.09, while YSS at $31.91 trades +71.1% above its estimate of $9.23. VSEC shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: VSEC vs YSS

VSEC earns a Quality of Company score of 6.4/10 compared to YSS's 1.7/10. This is a significant quality gap — the higher-scoring company demonstrates materially stronger fundamentals across profitability, growth consistency, and balance sheet health. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: VSEC vs YSS

Review the value trap analysis for both VSEC and YSS to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both VSEC and YSS operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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