VSEC vs VWAV

VSE Corporation vs VisionWave Holdings, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — VSEC scores higher on quality with 6.4/10 vs VWAV's 4.0/10. VSEC trades at $180.19 while VWAV trades at $5.93. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

VSEC

Aerospace & Defense
VSE Corporation
Quality
6.4
out of 10
Value Trap
34
LOW
Price
$180.19
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
VS

VWAV

Aerospace & Defense
VisionWave Holdings, Inc.
Quality
4.0
out of 10
Value Trap
Price
$5.93
Last close
Models
7/13
Active
VSEC
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
VWAV
PWERM sees +1.9% upside
Quality 4.0/10 — below average

VSEC vs VWAV — Fair Value Comparison

VSEC
$0$71$142$213 Price$180.19 Bayesian …$33.09 (-81.6%) Earnings …$74.29 (-58.8%)
VWAV
$0$2$5$7 Price$5.93 Bayesian …$1.52 (-74.4%) PWERM$6.04 (+1.9%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType VSEC Fair ValueVSEC Upside VWAV Fair ValueVWAV Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $33.09 -81.6% $1.52 -74.4%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $74.29 -58.8%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $176.87 -1.8% $6.04 +1.9%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

VSEC vs VWAV — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

VSEC scores higher with a 6.4/10 quality rating vs VWAV's 4.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do VSEC and VWAV Valuations Compare?

At $180.19, VSEC trades +81.6% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $33.09, while VWAV at $5.93 trades +74.4% above its estimate of $1.52. VSEC shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: VSEC vs VWAV

VSEC earns a Quality of Company score of 6.4/10 compared to VWAV's 4.0/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: VSEC vs VWAV

Review the value trap analysis for both VSEC and VWAV to assess whether apparent undervaluation reflects genuine opportunity or hidden fundamental risk.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both VSEC and VWAV operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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