Is UFCS or WRB more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares United Fire Group, Inc (UFCS) and W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. UFCS has a Quality of Company score of 9.2/10 while WRB scores 10.0/10.

Which is a better buy — UFCS or WRB?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do UFCS and WRB valuations compare?

UFCS at $44.78 and WRB at $64.30 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

UFCS vs WRB Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

UFCS

Insurance - Property & Casualty

United Fire Group, Inc

Quality

9.2

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$44.78

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

WRB

Insurance - Property & Casualty

W.R. Berkley Corporation

Quality

10.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$64.30

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	UFCS Fair Value	UFCS Upside	WRB Fair Value	WRB Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$66.30	+48.1%	$131.92	+105.2%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$37.22	-16.9%	$47.37	-26.3%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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UFCS vs WRB — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

WRB scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs UFCS's 9.2/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing United Fire Group, Inc (UFCS) and W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

UFCS currently trades at $44.78 with a QOC of 9.2/10, while WRB trades at $64.30 with a QOC of 10.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).