TDG vs VVX

Transdigm Group Incorporated vs V2X, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — TDG scores higher on quality with 9.5/10 vs VVX's 8.7/10. TDG trades at $1246.98 while VVX trades at $83.22. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

TDG

Aerospace & Defense
Transdigm Group Incorporated
Quality
9.5
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$1246.98
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

VVX

Aerospace & Defense
V2X, Inc.
Quality
8.7
out of 10
Value Trap
31
LOW
Price
$83.22
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
TDG
First Chicago sees +32.6% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models
VVX
Quality Score 8.7/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

TDG vs VVX — Fair Value Comparison

TDG
$0$650$1K$2K Price$1246.98 Bayesian …$22.27 (-98.2%) First Chi…$1653.54 (+32.6%)
VVX
$0$33$65$98 Price$83.22 Bayesian …$46.10 (-44.6%) Earnings …$10.87 (-86.9%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType TDG Fair ValueTDG Upside VVX Fair ValueVVX Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $22.27 -98.2% $46.10 -44.6%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $10.87 -86.9%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $1653.54 +32.6% $146.37 +75.9%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

TDG vs VVX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

TDG scores higher with a 9.5/10 quality rating vs VVX's 8.7/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do TDG and VVX Valuations Compare?

At $1246.98, TDG trades +98.2% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $22.27, while VVX at $83.22 trades +44.6% above its estimate of $46.10. TDG shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: TDG vs VVX

TDG earns a Quality of Company score of 9.5/10 compared to VVX's 8.7/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: TDG vs VVX

TDG carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while VVX shows LOW risk (31/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Aerospace & Defense

Both TDG and VVX operate in Aerospace & Defense, which has 77 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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