TCBK vs TCBX

TriCo Bancshares vs Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — TCBK scores higher on quality with 9.5/10 vs TCBX's 9.0/10. TCBK trades at $50.67 while TCBX trades at $38.16. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

TCBK

Banks - Regional
TriCo Bancshares
Quality
9.5
out of 10
Value Trap
12
SAFE
Price
$50.67
Last close
Models
12/13
Active
VS

TCBX

Banks - Regional
Third Coast Bancshares, Inc.
Quality
9.0
out of 10
Value Trap
22
SAFE
Price
$38.16
Last close
Models
10/13
Active
TCBK
Quality Score 9.5/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models
TCBX
Earnings Power Value sees +48.1% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

TCBK vs TCBX — Fair Value Comparison

TCBK
$0$20$40$60 Price$50.67 Bayesian …$28.36 (-44.0%) Earnings …$37.03 (-26.9%)
TCBX
$0$22$44$67 Price$38.16 Bayesian …$33.92 (-11.1%) Earnings …$56.51 (+48.1%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType TCBK Fair ValueTCBK Upside TCBX Fair ValueTCBX Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $28.36 -44.0% $33.92 -11.1%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $37.03 -26.9% $56.51 +48.1%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

TCBK vs TCBX — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

TCBK scores higher with a 9.5/10 quality rating vs TCBX's 9.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do TCBK and TCBX Valuations Compare?

At $50.67, TCBK trades +44.0% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $28.36, while TCBX at $38.16 trades +11.1% above its estimate of $33.92. TCBK shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: TCBK vs TCBX

TCBK earns a Quality of Company score of 9.5/10 compared to TCBX's 9.0/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: TCBK vs TCBX

TCBK carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while TCBX shows SAFE risk (22/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Banks - Regional

Both TCBK and TCBX operate in Banks - Regional, which has 329 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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