SWIM vs WMS

Latham Group, Inc. vs Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-03 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — WMS scores higher on quality with 10.0/10 vs SWIM's 7.4/10. SWIM trades at $5.32 while WMS trades at $135.66. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

SWIM

Building Products & Equipment
Latham Group, Inc.
Quality
7.4
out of 10
Value Trap
24
SAFE
Price
$5.32
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

WMS

Building Products & Equipment
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.
Quality
10.0
out of 10
Value Trap
23
SAFE
Price
$135.66
Last close
Models
13/13
Active
SWIM
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
WMS
Quality Score 10.0/10 — top tier
Limited to 2/13 visible models

SWIM vs WMS — Fair Value Comparison

SWIM
$0$2$4$6 Price$5.32 Bayesian …$0.75 (-85.7%) Earnings …$2.94 (-44.8%)
WMS
$0$53$107$160 Price$135.66 Bayesian …$133.50 (-1.6%) Earnings …$60.54 (-55.4%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType SWIM Fair ValueSWIM Upside WMS Fair ValueWMS Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $0.75 -85.7% $133.50 -1.6%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $2.94 -44.8% $60.54 -55.4%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

SWIM vs WMS — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

WMS scores higher with a 10.0/10 quality rating vs SWIM's 7.4/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do SWIM and WMS Valuations Compare?

At $5.32, SWIM trades +85.7% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.75, while WMS at $135.66 trades +1.6% above its estimate of $133.50. SWIM shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.

Quality of Company: SWIM vs WMS

SWIM earns a Quality of Company score of 7.4/10 compared to WMS's 10.0/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: SWIM vs WMS

SWIM carries a SAFE value trap risk (24/100) while WMS shows SAFE risk (23/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Building Products & Equipment

Both SWIM and WMS operate in Building Products & Equipment, which has 36 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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