Is SU or YPF more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) and YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. SU has a Quality of Company score of 1.7/10 while YPF scores 1.7/10.

Which is a better buy — SU or YPF?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do SU and YPF valuations compare?

SU at $62.36 and YPF at $53.01 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

SU vs YPF Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

SU

Petroleum Refining

Suncor Energy Inc.

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$62.36

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

YPF

Petroleum Refining

YPF Sociedad Anonima

Quality

1.7

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$53.01

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	SU Fair Value	SU Upside	YPF Fair Value	YPF Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$22.91	-63.3%	$14.98	-71.7%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$26.18	-59.1%	$9.26	-78.4%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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SU vs YPF — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

Both SU and YPF score 1.7/10 on quality. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) and YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

SU currently trades at $62.36 with a QOC of 1.7/10, while YPF trades at $53.01 with a QOC of 1.7/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).