STWD vs TCI

STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S vs Transcontinental Realty Investo — Valuation Comparison 2026

By CirclFi Research Team · Updated 2026-06-01 · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quick Summary — STWD scores higher on quality with 6.5/10 vs TCI's 6.0/10. STWD trades at $16.80 while TCI trades at $38.76. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

STWD

Real Estate Investment Trusts
STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S
Quality
6.5
out of 10
Value Trap
22
SAFE
Price
$16.80
Last close
Models
11/13
Active
VS

TCI

Real Estate Investment Trusts
Transcontinental Realty Investo
Quality
6.0
out of 10
Value Trap
36
LOW
Price
$38.76
Last close
Models
9/13
Active
STWD
2 models active
Limited to 2/13 visible models
TCI
Dynamic NAV sees +11.2% upside
Limited to 2/13 visible models

STWD vs TCI — Fair Value Comparison

STWD
$0$7$13$20 Price$16.80 Bayesian …$3.20 (-80.9%) Earnings …$3.86 (-77.0%)
TCI
$0$17$34$51 Price$38.76 First Chi…$26.76 (-31.0%) Dynamic N…$43.10 (+11.2%)
Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

ModelType STWD Fair ValueSTWD Upside TCI Fair ValueTCI Upside
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $3.20 -80.9%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $3.86 -77.0%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
First Chicago Scenario $3.64 -78.3% $26.76 -31.0%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $43.10 +11.2%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% $•••.•• ••.•%

STWD vs TCI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

STWD scores higher with a 6.5/10 quality rating vs TCI's 6.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do STWD and TCI Valuations Compare?

STWD currently trades at $16.80 while TCI trades at $38.76. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: STWD vs TCI

STWD earns a Quality of Company score of 6.5/10 compared to TCI's 6.0/10. The scores are closely matched, indicating similar fundamental quality profiles. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: STWD vs TCI

STWD carries a SAFE value trap risk (22/100) while TCI shows LOW risk (36/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Real Estate Investment Trusts

Both STWD and TCI operate in Real Estate Investment Trusts, which has 186 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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