STWD vs SVC Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

Quick Summary — STWD scores higher on quality with 6.5/10 vs SVC's 4.8/10. STWD trades at $16.80 while SVC trades at $1.75. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.

STWD

Real Estate Investment Trusts

STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S

Quality

6.5

out of 10

Value Trap

22

SAFE

Price

$16.80

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

VS

SVC

Real Estate Investment Trusts

Service Properties Trust - Shar

Quality

4.8

out of 10

Value Trap

16

SAFE

Price

$1.75

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

STWD

2 models active

Limited to 2/13 visible models

SVC

Markov DDM sees +156.9% upside

Quality 4.8/10 — below average

STWD vs SVC — Fair Value Comparison

STWD

SVC

Market Price Model 1 Model 2

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	STWD Fair Value	STWD Upside	SVC Fair Value	SVC Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$3.20	-80.9%	—	—
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$3.86	-77.0%	—	—
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$3.64	-78.3%	$1.17	-28.9%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$4.60	-72.6%	$4.50	+156.9%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

STWD vs SVC — Which Stock Is More Undervalued in 2026?

STWD scores higher with a 6.5/10 quality rating vs SVC's 4.8/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

How Do STWD and SVC Valuations Compare?

STWD currently trades at $16.80 while SVC trades at $1.75. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily for both companies.

Quality of Company: STWD vs SVC

STWD earns a Quality of Company score of 6.5/10 compared to SVC's 4.8/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.

Value Trap Risk: STWD vs SVC

STWD carries a SAFE value trap risk (22/100) while SVC shows SAFE risk (16/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.

Both in Real Estate Investment Trusts

Both STWD and SVC operate in Real Estate Investment Trusts, which has 186 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).

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STWD

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SVC

View Full Service Properties Trust - Shar Analysis →

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