Is SRFM or UP more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) and Wheels Up Experience Inc. (UP) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. SRFM has a Quality of Company score of 4.8/10 while UP scores 4.3/10.

Which is a better buy — SRFM or UP?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do SRFM and UP valuations compare?

SRFM at $1.24 and UP at $8.82 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

SRFM vs UP Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

SRFM

Air Transportation, Nonscheduled

Surf Air Mobility Inc.

Quality

4.8

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$1.24

Last close

Models

6/13

Active

UP

Air Transportation, Nonscheduled

Wheels Up Experience Inc.

Quality

4.3

out of 10

Value Trap

WARN

Price

$8.82

Last close

Models

8/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	SRFM Fair Value	SRFM Upside	UP Fair Value	UP Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$0.20	-83.7%	$2.40	-70.5%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$2.58	+107.9%	$30.11	+241.4%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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SRFM vs UP — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

SRFM scores higher with a 4.8/10 quality rating vs UP's 4.3/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) and Wheels Up Experience Inc. (UP) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

SRFM currently trades at $1.24 with a QOC of 4.8/10, while UP trades at $8.82 with a QOC of 4.3/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).