Quick Summary — SPG scores higher on quality with 8.8/10 vs STWD's 6.5/10. SPG trades at $202.66 while STWD trades at $16.80. Both analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR data across 13 institutional models.
SPG scores higher with a 8.8/10 quality rating vs STWD's 6.5/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.
At $202.66, SPG trades +78.4% above its Bayesian DCF fair value of $43.68, while STWD at $16.80 trades +80.9% above its estimate of $3.20. STWD shows a wider gap between price and intrinsic value.
SPG earns a Quality of Company score of 8.8/10 compared to STWD's 6.5/10. This moderate difference suggests one company has an edge in fundamental quality, though both may offer investment merit depending on valuation. The QOC score synthesizes 32 signals spanning profitability margins, revenue growth, free cash flow, capital allocation, and leverage.
SPG carries a SAFE value trap risk (12/100) while STWD shows SAFE risk (22/100). Both companies show manageable value trap risk, suggesting their current valuations are not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration.
Both SPG and STWD operate in Real Estate Investment Trusts, which has 186 stocks tracked by CirclFi. Same-industry comparisons provide the most direct insight into relative valuation since both companies face similar regulatory environments, market dynamics, and competitive pressures. Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN), and ensemble methods (CUCE).
11 hidden models compare SPG vs STWD differently — including EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, PWERM, and 7 more. Some may disagree with the 2 you see above.
Bloomberg Terminal: ~$2,000/mo · FactSet: ~$1,000/mo · CirclFi: $0.90/day
See All 13 Models — $0.90/dayWe don’t predict prices. We show you what 13 independent mathematical frameworks say a stock is worth — and let you decide.