Is SMID or VMC more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) and Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi (VMC) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. SMID has a Quality of Company score of 9.7/10 while VMC scores 8.9/10.

Which is a better buy — SMID or VMC?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do SMID and VMC valuations compare?

SMID at $32.42 and VMC at $276.75 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

SMID vs VMC Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

SMID

Building Materials

Smith-Midland Corporation

Quality

9.7

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$32.42

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

VMC

Building Materials

Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi

Quality

8.9

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$276.75

Last close

Models

13/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	SMID Fair Value	SMID Upside	VMC Fair Value	VMC Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$8.94	-72.4%	$81.63	-70.5%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$12.39	-61.8%	$81.09	-70.7%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Dynamic NAV	Asset-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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SMID vs VMC — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

SMID scores higher with a 9.7/10 quality rating vs VMC's 8.9/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) and Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi (VMC) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

SMID currently trades at $32.42 with a QOC of 9.7/10, while VMC trades at $276.75 with a QOC of 8.9/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).