Is SMBC or SPFI more undervalued in 2026?

CirclFi compares Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC) and South Plains Financial, Inc. (SPFI) using 13 institutional-grade valuation models. SMBC has a Quality of Company score of 9.1/10 while SPFI scores 9.0/10.

Which is a better buy — SMBC or SPFI?

Compare intrinsic values from 13 independent models against current market prices. CirclFi also calculates Value Trap scores. This is not financial advice — conduct your own analysis.

How do SMBC and SPFI valuations compare?

SMBC at $69.21 and SPFI at $40.44 are compared across Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, and 8 additional models.

SMBC vs SPFI Valuation Comparison 2026 — Intrinsic Value Analysis

SMBC

Banks - Regional

Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.

Quality

9.1

out of 10

Value Trap

—

Price

$69.21

Last close

Models

11/13

Active

SPFI

Banks - Regional

South Plains Financial, Inc.

Quality

9.0

out of 10

Value Trap

SAFE

Price

$40.44

Last close

Models

12/13

Active

Model-by-Model Comparison

Model	Type	SMBC Fair Value	SMBC Upside	SPFI Fair Value	SPFI Upside
Bayesian DCF	Intrinsic	$33.20	-52.0%	$56.38	+39.4%
Earnings Power Value	Intrinsic	$41.02	-40.7%	$82.52	+104.1%
EROIC Spread	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
First Chicago	Scenario	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Markov DDM	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
ML-RIV	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
PWERM	Option-Based	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Regime Cross-Sectional	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
Sentiment SOTP	Hybrid	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
CUCE Ensemble	Ensemble	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
FTNN Topology	Relative	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%
RCMH-DCF	Intrinsic	$•••.••	••.•%	$•••.••	••.•%

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SMBC vs SPFI — Which Stock Is More Undervalued?

SMBC scores higher with a 9.1/10 quality rating vs SPFI's 9.0/10. Both stocks are analyzed daily using SEC EDGAR filings across 13 independent models.

Comparing Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC) and South Plains Financial, Inc. (SPFI) across 13 institutional-grade valuation models reveals how each company's intrinsic value stacks up against its market price. CirclFi's engine processes SEC EDGAR 10-K and 10-Q filings, FRED macroeconomic data, and GDELT news sentiment to generate independent fair value estimates daily.

SMBC currently trades at $69.21 with a QOC of 9.1/10, while SPFI trades at $40.44 with a QOC of 9.0/10.

Both companies are analyzed with models spanning intrinsic (Bayesian DCF, EPV), scenario-based (First Chicago), regime-switching (Markov DDM, RCMH-DCF), machine learning (ML-RIV, FTNN Topology), and ensemble methods (CUCE).